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S a p i a A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 0 2
APPENDIX 8 – DEMAND/REFINING CAPACITY BALANCE
  Millions of litres
2001
Refining
Capacity
Actual		 2001
Demand
Actual		 2001
Surplus/
(Shortfall)
Actual		 2005
Refining
Capacity		 2005
Low
growth
Demand		 2005
Low
growth
Surpl/(Shortf)		 2005
High
growth
Demand		 2005
High
growth
Surpl/(Shortf)
Petrol 12 674 11 201 1 473 13 190 11 239 1 951 12 329 861
Diesel 8 539 7 409 1 130 9 543 7 926 1 617 8 663 880
Kerosene* 3 970 2 803 1 167 4 188 2 834 1 354 3 041 1 147
* Kerosene includes jet fuel and illuminating paraffin

Notes:
2001 Actual refining capacity is based on maximising petrol production and assumes a 92% capacity availability.

Capacity includes synfuel production.

Certain expansions in refining capacity are expected by 2005. These are included in the column "2005 Refining capacity".

Demand comprises inland** sales in South Africa plus sales to Botswana, Lesotho, Swaziland and Namibia.

The figures for the year 2005 show the expected range of demand for key petroleum products, and indicate the surplus/shortfalls in low and high demand scenarios (forecasts) against anticipated 2005 refining capacity.

** "Inland" means all sales in South Africa, but excludes sales of bunker fuels to ocean going ships.